Prop Deterministic
Formula and dependency model: inspect assumptions, deterministic bridges, sensitivity, and the paths that drive each metric. Use Prop Simulation for lifecycle outcomes across simulated paths.
Evaluation
Funded
Trading
Derived Win Rate (from PF + reward/risk): 50.00%
Payout Behavior
Simulation
Net Win
(reward pts x point value x size) - friction
$496.20
Net Loss
(risk pts x point value x size) + friction
$503.80
Implied Win Rate
(PF x grossLoss) / (grossWin + PF x grossLoss)
50.00%
Expected Net Edge / Trade
(winRate x netWin) - ((1 - winRate) x netLoss)
$-3.80
Expected Edge / Wager
expected net edge / gross loss per trade
-0.76%
Evaluation Attempts / Day
trades/day x (1 + same-day rebuys)
1.00
Expected Evaluation Pass Probability
absorbing model: hit eval target before eval MLL
25.00%
Consecutive-Win Days (Streak Only)
Markov run-length expectation to required consecutive wins
6.0000
Average Days per Attempt
streak-only days x expected stages traversed before eval absorption
9.0000
Time Bridges
Eval Trading Time (Avg, incl MLL)
MLL-adjusted average days per attempt (not yet pass-adjusted)
9.0000
Funded Trading Time (Total)
expected total funded days to first payout including failed funded attempts
-
Payout Outcome Probability
absorbing balance model probability of payout before funded failure
33.33%
Fail Outcome Probability
1 - payout outcome probability
66.67%
Funded Days to Outcome
expected absorbing-process days until payout or failure
32.0000
Expected Failed Funded Attempts
fail probability / payout probability
2.0000
Expected Evaluation Days (Total Until Pass)
streak-aware expected eval time with no extra pass-probability re-scaling
9.0000
Winning Day Probability
implied win rate if one win meets winning-day amount, else 0
50.00%
Funded Winning-Day Requirement (1st)
max(required winning days, funded consistency implied days)
5.00
Funded Winning-Day Requirement (Recurring)
max(required winning days, funded consistency implied days)
5.00
Expected Trades per Winning Day
1 / winning day probability
2.00
Expected Trades to First Payout
funded total days to first payout x trades/day
-
Expected Trades to Recurring Payout
funded total days to recurring payout x trades/day
-
Expected Funded Cost
Passed account cost
$0.00
Balance Required (1st Payout)
first payout cash / requested payout %
$4000.00
Balance Required (Recurring)
recurring payout cash / requested payout %
$0.00
First Payout Value
min(first payout cash, payout cap)
$2000.00
Recurring Payout Value
min(recurring payout cash, payout cap)
$0.00
Expected Annual Trading Days
first-cycle days + (recurring-cycle days x recurring payouts/year), capped by trading year
0.00
Annual Passed Accounts
first-payout sequences started per year
0.00
Annual Eval Accounts
max(eval-throughput accounts/year, funded-demand-required accounts/year)
28.00
Annual Passed Evals
annual eval accounts x eval pass probability
7.00
Annual Blown Accounts
annual payouts x expected failed funded attempts before payout
0.00
Annual Payouts
first payout + recurring payouts over the year
0.00
Annual Eval Trading Days
first-payout equivalents/year x total eval days to pass
0.00
Annual Funded Trading Days
annual trading days - annual eval trading days
0.00
Expected Annual Gross Value
first payout value + (recurring payout value x recurring payouts/year)
$0.00
Expected Account Value (1st Cycle)
(payout prob x first payout value) - passed account cost
$666.67
Expected Total Days to 1st Payout
total eval days to pass + funded total days to first payout
-
Deterministic Net EV (Annual)
diagnostic only: annual gross bridge minus fees, slippage, eval cost, and passed-account cost
$-2660.00